Statistics and statistical analysis can be varied, depending on who is parsing the numbers. While I consider one item to be a positive sign, someone else can come along and decide it's a negative. Regardless of how one looks at the real estate numbers for Buncombe County for the last few years, the one observation that most people would agree on is that we are a seasonal market, and we are headed toward our positive season.
In considering the first two months of market numbers for Buncombe County and Black Mountain, there are some numbers that seem solid. The number of homes sold for Jan/Feb this year, compared with last year's numbers, are steady. In addition, in Black Mountain, the 14 homes sold are only two less than the 16 units sold for this period during 2008 before the national real estate market decline. The County comparison for homes sold this year to date compared with 2008 during the same period, however, represents a 32% decline.
Sales volume comparison for the same period for 2011 versus 2010 in the County shows a 10% decline. Black Mountain sales volume for these first two months of 2011 shows a 12% increase over the same period in 2010. Those numbers parallel the average price trend, which has Buncombe County declining 9% and Black Mountain increasing 4%.
One area of concern is Days on Market which has increased in both the County and Black Mountain. The number of days, 187 for both markets, is about double what we would like to see in a growing real estate market. It's also interesting to note the number of homes on the market which has remained steady in Black Mountain and decreased in Buncombe County. While that would seem like a positive, there is no way without further study to determine if those numbers are that way because people are removing their homes from the market or holding off putting them on the market until the market picks up a bit.
Again, different people will consider these numbers and perhaps have a different slant to put on them. But I look at these numbers and the market trends over the last few years, and I feel very comfortable noting that with spring here and summer around the corner, we are entering an active period for home sales. And if buyers enter the market willing to offer fair price, they should be able to buy a home that will meet their needs now and provide them with a solid investment for the future.
For more information about the Asheville Real Estate market, please contact Greybeard Realty.