Mid-year home sales numbers in Black Mountain and the Asheville area for 2016 indicate that the upward movement continues with strong sales and a short supply. With several months of statistics on hand, it seems appropriate to begin talking about the growing trend in western NC real estate market.
For the sixth consecutive year, the number of units sold year-to-date in the county increased. In 2016, the number of units sold in the first half of the year increased 5%, from 1,878 in 2015 to 1,977 this year. At the same time, total sales volume increased a strong 19% to just over $601 million. In contrast, the number of units on the market for the last six years has declined. From a high of 3,527 units for sale six years ago, the current number of units offered countywide is 1,954. This shrinking supply has impacted the average price per home as well with a 13% increase in 2016 year to date. In fact, the average home price now exceeds the $273,844 mark in 2008.
One interesting number that bears watching is the Days on Market (DOM). That number, which has not been below 100 days in the last 8 years and has been as high as 173 days in 2012, is at 75 days, year to date. That number is an indication of the short supply. Interested buyers are finding they have to choose quickly as the short supply means that someone else may put in a better offer if they hesitate.
Black Mountain real estate market numbers, at first glance, appear to be down slightly. The number of units sold, 106 homes, is down 2% compared to 2015 numbers year to date. The average price also shows a decline of 2% for the same period, while sales volume has declined 4%. As noted, these numbers can be interpreted as a market decline.
A closer look at some additional statistics, however, indicate that these small declines are due in large part to the decline in supply. There just isn’t much on the market right now for people to choose from. The number of homes on the market, 105, is a 15 % decrease from the same time in 2015. And additionally, it’s interesting to note that while that figure of 105 units on the market seems to be adequate, it actually is misleading. At the time these numbers were compiled, 30% or 31 units were actually already under contract. The number of units on the market at mid-year 2016 is just over half of the supply that was available in 2009. This type of tight supply market can impact numbers as buyers are searching for just the right home in an area with a very limited supply.
There’s one other number in this report that has shown a dramatic decline as well, and that’s the day on market (DOM) statistic. The average Black Mountain home now stays on the market only 81 days, compared to 150 days at the same time period last year. In Buncombe County, there’s a similar pattern. DOM year to date 2016 is 75 there, down from 118 last year this time. What that indicates is that buyers have less time to consider their decision. Their dream home may not be there by the time they have looked at other options.
The takeaway for now in both Black Mountain and Buncombe County seems to be that supply continues to tighten. Over time, it is anticipated that prices will continue to increase and DOM will shorten as buyers find fewer homes to choose from. So again, with the present market conditions, it’s a fabulous time to list your home if you’ve been thinking about doing that. And as a buyer, come prepared to take action when you find the home of your dreams. With this limited supply, homes just aren’t staying on the market for very long before they sell.
At Greybeard Realty, we track market numbers monthly so be sure to check out our real estate statistics webpage to see what the market is doing now. We also have a couple of helpful buyers’ webpages, the ABCs of home buying as well as the Home Buying Process. Please visit the Greybeard webpage to see our residential listings and feel free to contact us to go see anything that catches your eye.